KSE-100 index falters under 47,000-point mark

Merchants are standing in the primary corridor of Pakistan Inventory Alternate in Karachi. — Reuters/File
  • The benchmark KSE-100 index closes the week at 46,636.08, down 562 factors.
  • The decline comes on the again of uncertainty on the financial entrance coupled with international developments.
  • Traders stay cautious forward of the financial coverage announcement by the central financial institution on Monday.

KARACHI: Bears regained management of the Pakistan inventory market within the outgoing week as looming uncertainty on the financial entrance coupled with international developments drove the index again into the destructive territory. 

Lack of constructive triggers dimmed investor sentiments and fuelled profit-taking. Resultantly, the KSE-100 index dropped 562 factors or 1.19% to shut at 46,636.08 factors.

Buying and selling kicked off on Monday as traders cherished the approval of Pakistan Oil Refinery Coverage 2021 by the Cupboard Committee on Vitality (CCoE). Furthermore, optimism in banks and the facility sector lifted the benchmark KSE-100 index.

The pattern, nevertheless, reversed and the market recorded losses throughout the subsequent two classes. Persistent depreciation of the rupee towards the US greenback coupled with speculations concerning the Worldwide Financial Fund (IMF) assessment — due later this month — on the $6 billion mortgage programme, stopped traders from assuming contemporary positions and the benchmark index fell under the 47,000-psychological barrier.

Happily, the tables turned on Thursday as bulls staged a comeback on the Pakistan Inventory Alternate because the market gamers cheered the easing of COVID-related restrictions within the nation. Furthermore, expertise and exploration and manufacturing sectors recouped losses throughout the day.

Nonetheless, after a day’s respite, the market as soon as once more succumbed to promoting strain on the final day of the buying and selling week because of New Zealand’s cancellation of its tour to the nation over safety issues.

Furthermore, traders have been gripped by concern because the State Financial institution of Pakistan (SBP) launched some main financial information throughout the second session. Based on the central financial institution, the present account deficit rose to $1.5 billion in August in comparison with $0.8 billion in July. In the meantime, overseas direct funding dropped by 10% year-on-year.

Traders have been additionally cautious forward of the financial coverage announcement by the central financial institution on Monday (September 20).

International promoting continued this week, settling at $10.9 million towards a web promote of $18.6 million recorded final week. Promoting was witnessed in business banks ($12.7 million) and all different sectors ($2.2 million).

On the home entrance, main shopping for was reported by people ($16.8 million) and banks/Improvement Monetary Establishments ($4 million).

Through the week underneath assessment, common volumes clocked in at 400 million shares (down by 7% week-on-week), in the meantime common worth traded settled at $90 million (up by 3% week-on-week).

Gainers and losers throughout the week

Sector-wise destructive contributions got here from cement (-287 factors), refinery (-55 factors), oil and gasoline advertising corporations (-54 factors), meals and private care merchandise (-51 factors), and expertise and communication (-44 factors). Sectors that contributed positively have been business banks (+130 factors), tobacco (+6 factors) and artificial and rayon (+5 factors).

Scrip-wise main losers have been Fortunate Cement (-131 factors), Meezan Financial institution (-102 factors), Methods Restricted (-70 factors), Maple Leaf Cement (-43points) and DG Khan Cement (-41 factors). On the flip facet, main gainers have been UBL (+73 factors), HBL (+56 factors) and Fauji Fertilizer (+50 factors).

Prediction for subsequent week

A report from Arif Habib Restricted said: “Going ahead, we anticipate the market to stay constructive within the upcoming week attributable to talks with IMF for the sixth tranche to start out on the finish of the present month.”

Then again, a decline in COVID-19 an infection charges in Pakistan and a slowdown in international oil costs “would relieve strain off the exterior account.”

Nonetheless, present macro-economic issues akin to rising imports, increased inflation because of rising petroleum costs, and strain on forex may deteriorate traders’ sentiment, the brokerage home predicted.

Based on the report, the popular shares are Engro Polymer and Chemical substances, Pakistan State Oil, Oil and Fuel Improvement Firm, Hub Energy Firm, HBL, MCB, Fauji Fertilizer, Fortunate Cement, Attock Cement, Engro Company, MCB, Indus Motor Firm, UBL, Pakistan Telecommunication, Sui Northern Fuel Pipelines, Unity Meals, Hello-Tech Lubricants, and Interloop Pakistan.

“The KSE-100 is presently buying and selling at a PER of 5.8x (2021) in comparison with Asia-Pacific regional common of 14.4x whereas providing a dividend yield of seven.9% versus 2.3% supplied by the area,” the brokerage home said.

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